Climate Safety » visualisation http://climatesafety.org In case of emergency... Tue, 11 Oct 2011 14:33:30 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=abc Visualising the gap between political and scientific reality. http://climatesafety.org/visualising-the-gap-between-political-and-scientific-reality/ http://climatesafety.org/visualising-the-gap-between-political-and-scientific-reality/#comments Tue, 08 Dec 2009 16:36:34 +0000 Richard Hawkins http://climatesafety.org/?p=459 --- Stay in the loop, follow Climate Safety on Twitter or Facebook.

]]> Keep an eye on the Climate Scoreboard during the next two weeks… Note the dark blue curve in the graphic, this is the probability distribution, it shows the full range of temperature rise the current national emissions proposals would likely give rise to. Currently it’s 2-6 degrees with 3.8 degrees is the most likely outcome (according to their analysis, climate sensitivity etc.).

With my risk managers hat on, it’s hard not to notice that we could go way above 3.8 degrees… it looks like there’s a 5-10% of going over 5 degrees… the sting’s in the tail as they say!

There’s also the Climate Action Tracker which comes to broadly similar conclusions:

Screen shot 2009-12-05 at 16.45.21 copy

Do you know of any more?

Update: There’s also the Climate Circus!

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